Read below for our favorite sleepers and longshots in the outright, T10 and T20 markets. Speaking of good ball-strikers and sketchy putters: Keegan Bradley! 2022 PGA Championship Bettors' Roundtable: Favorites, Sleepers and Best Bets for Southern Hills Who looks ready to raise the Wanamaker? Four podium finishes this season, three of which were runners-up, prove his game can travel to any type of golf course. Bradley arrives at Southern Hills with four top-10 finishes in his last six starts, including a solo fifth in the strongest field of the year at the Players Championship. But recently, it seems he has turned the corner, especially when it comes to his mental game. Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. While he has struggled on the PGA Tour, he displayed good form finishing in 14th-place at The Masters in April. But he is a player with whom casual fans are still not familiar. Where: Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida. We have made one of each using odds from BetMGM to assist you with your own weekly picks, whether those are for a low-stakes office fantasy league, or (legal!) Betting him as a top-10 finisher at +650 oddscould also be a profitable strategy. Welcome back, RotoBallers, to my PGA DFS Pivots for DraftKings! Scheffler is playing the best golf of his career and earned his first major win at the Masters in April. This week, we shift our sights onto the Ocean Course at Kiawah Islandwhere the track measures at 7,876 yards for a par 72. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. Big Sky Tournament Odds: Is Two-Seed Montana State The Rightful Favorite? That makes Scrambling and Bogey Avoidance of premium importance. Keegan Bradley a sleeper no more? I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. Fleetwood has quietly put together a nice 2022. Why not now? Were about an hour north of downtown. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. So what gives? His approach game is the weakest part of his arsenal, but he still ranks 27th in SG:APR, so he has the tools needed to challenge for his second win at the major. At these odds, I had to throw some money down on him. He ranks top-20 in SG:APR, one-putt percentage and scrambling from the rough, so he should be a safe bet to remain in contention this week. Berger, he said, is as impressive as anybody.. He goes as his putter goes, but his irons and approach game will keep him in contention here. It will also be good to find a player that can find success out of the rough. But, the combination of trending tee-to-green play and elite course history make him a very appealing salary saver option on DraftKings this week. So, why no love for Homa from the bookmakers? Wm Phx Open Final Round, Harold Varner III. These are decent odds for the best player in the world without a major, a mantle he wont have for long. 5:06 pm ET, 2023 Masters picks, field, odds, best bets, date, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Sleepers to consider for the 2022 PGA Championship, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win, Davis Love III enthused about golf's young stars. Many notable contenders are in peak form right now and leading the charge in the PGA standings. Also, the smartest picker I know has been crowing about Young for months. Its a long shot, but this is a dice roll I feel good about taking. This will likely make scoring difficult and will put an emphasis on saving par. Two of those were playoff losses to guys who arent exactly slouches (Spieth and Scheffler). The Horse 5. His T14 at Augusta was his best major finish to date. By our count, 44 of the world's top-50 players will make the trip to Orlando - including all 13 winners of PGA TOUR events so far this term. Day has flashed signs of his younger self throughout this season. PGA Championship dark horse picks: 5 sleepers who could win at Southern HIlls Feb. 13, 2022; Scottsdale Arizona, USA; Chris Kirk tees off on the 16th hole during the final round of the WM. https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt. But every so often you see a Cameron Champ, a name that makes you almost wonder: What does everyone else know that I dont? Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. We got it all, chickens, goats, you name it. He won at Mayakoba and recorded two straight top-five place finishes in the early spring. Think like a pro, bet like a pro, win like a pro. While he may be on the wrong side off the tee time waves, I believe he could play well this weekend. If youve come to this page before, youll know that one of the items I like to check before making a major championship bet is seeing where the public money is going. Strokes gained approaching the green (SG:APR) will also be important for this major, as will one-putt percentage. He's also coming into this event off of a third-place finish at the Byron Nelson, so you know he's in great form. I couldnt touch a club for eight, 10 weeks, 10, 11 weeks, and even at that, it took a little longer for me for the process. Hes not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but hes also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. The 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills is just a few days from getting underway. Sleeper Picks: Arnold Palmer Invitational. As an added bonus, the Swede played his college golf an hour west in Stillwater for Oklahoma State University, so he should be more than comfortable in this region of the country. Yeah, youll get a lot of the favorites because those are name bets of course, folks are going to pick the Rorys and the Tigers because thats whom they know. That said, the presence of these elites has pushed quality players to a discounted odds range, creating some appealing value if any of the elites falter. He's confident, and the putter is starting to become a friend once again. Who will win the PGA Championship, and which long shots will stun the golfing world? Tiger Woods Made Jordan Spieth Feel Bad About Missing Masters Cut, Most PGA Championship wins in golf history, Tiger, Rory, and Spieth form all-star group at the PGA Championship, Scottie Schefflers post-Masters celebration was all-time white New Balance dad energy. Min Woo Lee ($6,700) - When Min Woo Lee begin playing events on the PGA Tour he brought some hype. The only common thread I can find between past winners at Southern Hills is that theyre all properly good ball-strikers. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. Noren rounded out his AT&T Byron Nelson effort with an 8-under 64 and quietly added to what has been a fantastic season. Sleeper Picks: PGA Championship PGA TOUR STANDINGS FedExCup Standings 1 S. Power 749 2 K. Bradley 638 3 M. Hughes 614 4 T. Kim 601 5 B. Harman 594 SLEEPER PICKS Sleeper Picks: PGA. This season, despite only one stroke play top 10 on U.S. soil, Scott has been playing like a potential tournament winner. the winner of the PGA Tour's Barracuda Championship in 2021 . And this is no knock against him. He's used to these types of courses and conditions, so if the wind causes havoc this weekend, he might be able to make the leap. Particularly when it comes to a major championship, the favorites to win always get the biggest look. Big Shot Bob and another expert contact hitter are among Paulie's longshot options for Southern Hills and the 2022 PGA. Over the last 24 rounds, he ranks second in ball striking and first in strokes gained approach. If there's any golfer in the world who can flip the switch and dominate, it's Johnson. That said, he has a top-three approach game, ranks 12th in SG:OTT and is a top-five scrambler from the rough. Some recency bias could be coming into play. PGA Championship picks, best odds, sleepers to win 2021 tournament Vikas Chokshi, BetQL.com 6 min read It's Major week, and the highly anticipated PGA Championship is finally here! The biggest reason I am sprinkling on Fleetwood this week is his success on coastal- and links-style courses. In fact, hes yet to finish in the top 20 with a career best of T40 at the 2021 Open Championship. Y.E. Hes just, well, not there. Ads help us pay RotobBaller's award-winning writers as much as possible they are vital to the site's operations and team. The 2007 PGA Championship was also at Southern Hills CC, with Tiger Woods winning his 13th major. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Viktor Hovland ($9,900) - Viktor Hovland had a strong start to the new season. The 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills is just a few days from getting underway. Tiger Woods is making his second-straight major start after his triumphant return last month at Augusta National. Cameron Champ hits a tee shot last month during the Mexico Open. Scott ranks fifth in the world in Strokes Gained: Putting over the last year. He's always been in contention at the PGA Championship events and plays well at Dye courses, so I couldn't lay off of him. Like what you read today? While he did MC, he was still able to gain three strokes on approach and 3.5 strokes tee-to-green. He has, however, found a way to grind out finishes in the majors in his career. He will in all likelihood lose strokes putting at Bay Hill this week as well. Defending champion Phil Mickelson isnt playing this week. Dahmen captured his first PGA Tour win at the 2021 Corales Puntacana Resort and Club Championship in March, and he finished T10 in last year's PGA Championship. They may have their flaws -- they are "sleepers" for a. While there is a gulf of differences between the skills and mindset needed to win a major title and winning at your average PGA TOUR stop, Homas game should fit both on paper. The Big Rig has not been playing stellar golf lately, missing every cut since the Masters, but hes shown an ability to grind out scores on difficult courses. Over the last 24 rounds, Hatton ranks third in the field in strokes gained short-game. Our goal is to put out the highest-quality content and tools. Lines: View all 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational lines. Other than being ranked seventhin "Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green," his metrics don't pop off the charts. SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. I dont buy into many course comparisons this week. Saturday College Basketball Best Bets: Situational Spots Worth Considering, Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule. ET. Try these Birdie Juice-flavored tee picks, Quench your thirst on or off the course with this spiked beverage, Arnold Palmer Invitational betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at Bay Hill, 1 parlay we love and picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Shriners Children's Open picks: 4 bets we love this week in Las Vegas, Sanderson Farms Championship picks: 4 bets we love this week in Mississippi, Sanderson Farms Championship odds: Presidents Cuppers among betting favorites this week, Need help computing (and paying!) In 10 career starts at majors, Homa has yet to finish in the top 10. Over the last three months, Woodland ranks inside the top 20 of this PGA Championship field in strokes gained tee to green, strokes gained approach and strokes gained around the green. This week, the PGA event is The PGA Championship. Hottest golfer on the planet. Is it a stretch? Don't have an account? Sleeper pick: Davis Riley, +25,000: Riley is striping it as well as anyone in professional golf right now. At one point last year, he gained strokes around the green in nine straight events. In his two starts at major championships, Higgs has finished in the top 15. SeeTipico.comfor Terms and Conditions. MORE: Why Phil Mickelson will not defend his PGA Championship title. For just $0.83/month, get an ad-free experience and access to RotoBaller's VIP Discord Chat Community, If you can't subscribe, please consider turning off your adblocker for RotoBaller.com. Hovland Is still one of the best ball strikers on tour. Up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets. Tiger Woods ($8,200) - Another surprise as a pivot play is Tiger Woods. Last week, Jordan Spieth was asked about the sneaky-best short-game whizzes on Tour. Visit SportsLine now to see the projected PGA Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed eight golf majors, including this year's Masters. Odds, betting favorites, expert picks & more to know, Phil Mickelson won't be participating in the event, Why Phil Mickelson will not defend his PGA Championship title, Four NFL QBs set to participate in "The Match" 2022, How a fantasy football punishment led to a 112 score at a U.S. Open qualifier. The first major on the 2022 PGA Tour was won by Scottie Scheffler. Looking at the course, the putting grass thats going to be used is called paspalum, which is popular on European tracks. Golf's second major is upon us as the best players in the world head to Tulsa, Oklahoma for the 2022 PGA . His whole situation does beg the question: Will we ever see Lefty on the PGA Tour again? So, good putters should fare well on this course. We had a 50-year-old win the PGA last year, so why cant a 49-year-old get it done this week? You can reach out to him about any of these topics his stories, his game or his beers at nick.piastowski@golf.com. Of course, that's why we are getting him at 66-1. Champ offers tremendous value if the public is on to something, so lets zoom in. Why not ride the wave early and catch Young while hes still a longshot and not offered as one of the favorites at an event like this? He broke a winless drought earlier this season at the ZOZO Championship and followed that up with three top-20 finishes over his next six starts leading up to this week. America East Tournament Odds: Vermont To Claim Consecutive Titles. Recent PGA Championship Winners (Opening odds) 2021: Phil Mickelson (+15000)2020: Collin Morikawa (+6000)2019: Brooks Koepka (+1400)2018: Brooks Koepka (+2000)2017: Justin Thomas (+3000)2016:. In 2020, he finished second at the Scottish Open and in 2019, he finished second at the Open Championship. Sleeper pick: Matthew Wolff +12,500. If you like storylines entering a. Nick Piastowski is a Senior Editor at Golf.com and Golf Magazine. Days lone major came at the 2015 PGA Championship. March 8, 2022 6:50 pm ET The PGA Tour is in Ponta Vedra Beach, Florida, for one of, if not the, biggest non-major of the year. Rose finished T12 the last time the PGA Championship was contested at Southern Hills, in 2007. The same can be said of a couple of players further down the board in Matt Fitzpatrick (+4500) andDaniel Berger (+4500). Obviously, a lot has. PGA Championship sleeper picks If you're looking for picks that are a bit more daring, Keegan Bradley (+6500) and Cameron Young (+8000) each have the potential to outperform expectations. Of course, Young's weakness is the all-important approach game, where he ranks 83rd in SG:APR. Both check all of the boxes that we are looking for on the Southern Hills Country Club course. Lets go with the legend himself for a DEEP sleeper. Over the past 12 months, he ranks third in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee. Any of the top golfers in the field could win this year's major. The list of top performers at the Arnold Palmer Invitational reads like a list of major champions and annual major contenders. Furthermore, hes been a consistent gainer with his around-the-green play, even if hes not elite in that area. The SportsLine model is engineered by the same people who powered projections for all three major Fantasy sites. 2022 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks Sportsbook Keegan Bradley To Win: +8000 Top-5 Finish: +1100 Top-10 Finish: +500 Top-20 Finish: +200 The 2011 PGA Champion is beginning to look like his former self in that he is contending on a regular basis. They each have +400 odds for a top-10 finish and would be great DFS fillers in the sub-$9,000 salary range. This one feels too easy. Below, we search for value in the odds and target five sleepers and long-shot picks to win the 2021 PGA Championship. Twilight 9 podcast PGA Championship preview: Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. To-win: Jon Rahm, +1,200. Since, hes picked up some additional confidence and experience on long, difficult courses, playing in his first Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow. This. His PGA TOUR Horse for the Course for daily fantasy golf based on course history. I expect Scheffler to find himself in the final pairing come Sunday, but Spieth will be there with him. TV Broadcast: GOLFTV. That kind of weapon can make or break a players week at a major championship. Mandatory Credit: Alex Gould - The Republic And that same group is sharing its 2023 Fantasy baseball rankings and cheat sheets over at SportsLine, helping you find Fantasy baseball sleepers, breakouts and busts long before your competition. To-win: Xander Schauffele, +2,500: I have it on good authority that an elite ball-striker is going to win the PGA. He completes the grand slam. The PGA Championship tees off Thursday (May 20th) at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island, in South Carolina Xander Schauffele has finished 6th or better seven times in his 15 Major starts Read below for analysis of the event and our favorite sleepers and longshot plays This will likely make scoring difficult. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. The PGA Championship has awarded the Wanamaker Trophy to many. Here's everything you need to know to bet on the 2022 PGA Championship, including the latest tournament odds and best bets for the event. However, it could lead to a similar situation to The Players Championship. Up to $1,250 on Caesars. Pictured: Max Homa. He has made the cut in each of his last eight starts including a 12th place finish last week in which he gained strokes in all four major categories (his 4th top 12 in 2022). I dont necessarily love Homa at +5000 (FanDuels current offering) or +6600 (BetMGM), but all the way at +8000, hes worthy of a look. To-win: Will Zalatoris, +3,300. Champ: Were in Houston, Texas. At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. Southern Hills itself has changed plenty, with a renovation undertaken in that time. It's the city in which two best moments in golf have come - namely, winning the 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson and then successfully defending his crown just this past week. The PGA Championship is set for May 20-23 at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island in South Carolina. 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. There also aren't as many trees narrowing angles to the fairway and hole. Sign up for our free newsletter for fresh takes every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday*, A gay golf fan on JT's captivating play at the PGA Championship, Three notes from the ground at Southern Hills, Some major players and major problems that showed up in round 1 of the PGA, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing, A video with Gil Hanse on what the pros will confront at Southern Hills, The Restoration: Southern Hills and the future of championship golf, A PGA Primer on the traits and challenges of Southern Hills, Paulies Picks: Attributes and players to consider for the PGA, What to Know About Perry Maxwell: The life, work, and philosophy of the architect behind Southern Hills, Oklahoma and Maxwell-themed T-shirts for the 2022 PGA. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. Hes only made the cut in three of those 10 starts. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. After missing the weekend at the Honda, he went on a run of five straight T-22 or better finishes in stroke-play events (including at T-14 at Augusta). Collin Morikawa, Jason Day and Justin Thomas were either rising or established stars by the times of their. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. Count me among those who believe he has as good a chance as anyone to win this weeks PGA Championship at Southern Hills. His victory at the Wells Fargo was his second of the season, as he took home the hardware at the season opener, the Fortinet Championship. He has a lot of question marks about his health and form. No promotions available. 2022 PGA Championship viewers guide: Tee times, TV schedule, streaming, how to watch, Love transfusion cocktails? The 2021 PGA Championship Fantasy Sleeper Report Before placing any golf wagers, we consider many, many different variables, but sometimes it's the 'sleeper' factors that inform an event winner. shot lead in the second round of the PGA Tour's Arnold Palmer Invitational on Friday.The Spaniard had taken a two-shot lead on Thursday with a seven-under-par 65 . Hes relaxed: Champ rehabbed on a farm, and Ill let him explain the vibe, which he also shared at the Mexico Open. The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island lives up to its name with, you guessed it, a lot of water. Here is a look at five sleepers you should consider farther down the PGA Championship odds board as offered by Caesars Sportsbook. In 2018, he finished secondat both the Open Championship and at the U.S. Open. Only two of that crop are being offered at odds lower than +10000 at most sportsbooks. Click here to make your PGA picks He ranks second on the tour in SG:OTT and ninth in one-putt percentage. Yeah, its our little oasis at home, and we love it. This weekend is shaping up to be a legendary moment in the history of golf, as 156 of the best golfers in the world compete at the legendary Old Course at St Andrew's. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. BMW Championship picks 2022: Top 10s Caddie: Mito Pereira (+750, Bet365) He's got the length and the iron play to contend here, so a positive putting week and you're in business at these. I went back and forth here with fellow Englishman Paul Casey, but I settled on Hatton for a few reasons. A T-3 at the Farmers, leading the Wells Fargo after 36 holes, and two solid opening rounds last week before a Saturday 73 plummeted him down the leaderboard. Homas form entering the week speaks for itself: He won the last time he teed it up. Xander Schauffele 6. In fact, the other eight players who fit that criteria are all among the favorites this week and cant be found higher than roughly 25-1. With all the talent in the field, it can be difficult to make lineups and player pools. He's also first in "Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green," second in "Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green," and 22nd in "Strokes Gained: Total." McNealy has only missed the cut once since last years PGA Championship!